More VC Money Coming To CDNs and P2P Networks

Business Of Online Video の記事
http://blog.streamingmedia.com/the_business_of_online_vi/2008/02/more-vc-money-c.html

With over 30 CDN and P2P providers in the market today (www.cdnlist.com), you'd think the VC money would stop flowing to content distribution networks, but it's not. Over the first half of this I expect we'll see at least three more companies who are expected to announce funding. Looking at my list of 30+ providers, there is almost no company left on the list who hasn't raised money. I can't remember a time in the CDN market, even dating back to 1999, when nearly every company in the CDN industry all raised capital within nearly 12 months of each other.

We've seen Limelight Networks go public and EdgeCast, CacheLogic, CDNetworks, Grid Networks, BitTorrent, ChinaCache, Move Networks, Itivia, Rawflow and Rinera Networks all raise money within about the past 12 months. I expect the next round of funding announcements this year to come from Panther Express, Pando Networks and BitGravity and if that happens, nearly every company on the list will have raised money or is a publicly traded company.

This worries me. While it is great for the industry right now, over time, the market can't sustain 30+ providers. I fear that 18-24 months from now we're going to see quite a consolidation in the CDN market and only about half the providers will be left standing. The CDN market keeps going in the same cycle every couple of years. In 1998 there were about half a dozen CDNs. In 2001 that number surged to a few dozen. Then in 2004 we were back down to about six providers, and three years later, back up to a few dozen. It's a roller coaster ride for the CDN market and I really hope that the CDN and P2P providers are taking note of why companies failed in the past, where they went wrong and are aware of how not to repeat the same mistakes made in the market in years past.

P2Pの業者であればともかく、CDNの業者に資金が現在も資金が投入されているというのは、日本では考えにくい状況のように思われる。しばらくすればまた激しい淘汰が始まるのかも。